Top 100 MLB prospects 2022: Keith Law's rankings, with Orioles' Adley Rutschman at No. 1 - The Athletic

Welcome to this year’s ranking of the top 100 prospects in baseball. I’ve been compiling and writing such rankings for 15 years now, and those of you who’ve read them before will find the format here similar to those from the recent past. Today kicks off the prospect package with that top 100. My organization rankings, farm reports covering at least 20 prospects in each team’s system, and notes on prospects who might appear in the majors this year or who might be breakout prospects for the 2023 rankings will appear the week of Feb. 7.

We had a semi-normal year in 2021, with most of the minor-league season, just a bit delayed, and the welcome return of the Arizona Fall League, which allowed me to get out and see more players than I had the year before (albeit not as many as I did in 2019 and prior). I’m hoping this spring will bring something closer to the Before Times, although at this point, I’m more concerned about the impact of the lockout than from the pandemic. Fortunately, for the purposes of this list, I was able to speak to my usual sources in player development and scouting to gather information on players, and had access to the data I would expect to have from a typical minor-league season.

I tend to favor upside in prospects more than certainty, but there is value in both. A player who is all ceiling and no floor isn’t as valuable, in the trade market now or in considering his expected value in the long term, as one who has a somewhat lower ceiling but a much higher floor. I want players who might be stars, and after that I want players who might be above-average big leaguers — but I also try to keep in mind that many of these prospects won’t reach their ceilings, and to consider what other scenarios exist for their futures.

source: https://theathletic.com/3074113/2022/01/31/top-100-mlb-prospects-2022-keith-laws-rankings-with-adley-rutschman-at-no-1/

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